
Current
Commentary
Candidates'
debate
Substance
over style
Financial
reform must-haves
How
'little guys' are being robbed
Unemployment
falls as 652,000 give up
Ban
financial derivatives
Debunking
the federal pension myth
Cost
of inflation-free bank bailout
Answers
to questions: HERE
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Questions from
OldLineElephantMatthew
Newman of OldLineElephant.com sent some questions. Here are my answers:
Question 1:
What made you decide to run for Congress?
Answer: Others are running on a
platform of platitudes. I have specific ideas
and solutions at a time that we desperately need
them. The bank bailouts that started two years ago
showed that the majority of those in power are corrupt,
incompetent, or some combination of both. The
dearth of good ideas within the current sphere of debate
told me it was time to get my soapbox.
Question 2:
How would you rate our incumbent Congressman, Dutch
Ruppersberger?
Answer: I'd give him an F. He
voted for the bailouts twice. (Remember that there
were two votes; it actually failed the first time.)
He voted for a boondoggle of a stimulus package that
helped politically connected companies and was sold to us
under the threat of "if we don't do this,
unemployment will go over 8%." Well at 17
months and counting of 8%+ unemployment, we are fast
approaching and will likely exceed the post-war record of
27 months. He voted to force individuals into
contracting with a private corporation. The health
plan is widely misunderstood by both sides of the
spectrum. It is not socialist; rather, it is
corporatist, or fascist; it is worse than truly
socialist. He voted to raise the utility bills of
every American. These decisions have a common
theme: take from the middle class, give to the
rich.
Question 3: There
is a "Repeal It" movement being led by the Club
for Growth and conservatives in Congress. What are
your thoughts on this movement?
Answer: I support it either through the
legislative process or through the judicial
process. This may be hanging around for the next
four years. I don't think the 10th Amendment
argument is as strong as the Commerce Clause argument,
and that would require a real person to first be affected
by the mandate before the Supreme Court would even hear
the case. I am confident, however, that unless the
court is willing to define simply living as economic
activity, then the mandate would fall outside the purview
of the Commerce Clause and therefore be unconstitutional
as it would violate Article I, Section 8. God help
us all if it gets that far and they interpret it broadly
because that would open the floodgates of, to quote
Elena Kagan, "silly laws" such as the
hypothetical "three vegetables a day" question
she danced around.
Question 4:
How do you feel your experiences help qualify you for
this position?
Answer: As a small business owner I have
felt the effects of taxes and regulation first
hand. I understand how regulations can act as
barriers to entry and barriers to growth which limit a
free market's ability to function, which hurt consumers,
which hurt small businesses, and which actually help
large companies with the resources to comply with
them. What percentage of Walmart's labor hours do
you think are devoted to regulatory compliance?
What percentage of a 10-person company's labor hours do
you think are devoted to regulatory compliance? All
regulations are disproportionately burdensome on small
businesses.
Question 5:
On your website, you mention that Karl Marx, Jesus
Christ, and Adam Smith would all oppose the 2008 / 2009
bailout. Would you mind explaining this position a little
further?
Answer: When the father of
capitalism, the father of communism, and the moral
authority of the Western world for the last 2000 years
would all be on the same side of an issue, you know the
other side is wrong. Smith never would
have advocated for the government interfering to
this degree with the "invisible hand."
Marx never would have supported such a huge transfer
of income and wealth from the proletarians to the
bourgeois. Jesus specifically advocated that the
rich give to the poor and showed general contempt for the
bankers of His day when He threw out the money
changers. Understanding the philosophies of all
these men, I am confident in saying that, were they alive
today, they would vehemently oppose the bank
bailouts. The only historical figures who might
have supported them would be Marie "let them eat
cake" Antoinette and Louis XVI. To
privatize profits but socialize losses is theft.
Question 6: On
your website, you mention that you advocate
"...going toe to toe with government unions to cut
bureaucrats' pay to parity and to phase-out
unsustainable, unjust pensions." How would you
impact your legislative agenda?
Answer: I'd introduce a bill to cut
Federal employees' pay down to parity with the private
sector. Numerous studies using the government's own
data have shown that, even controlling for the same
job, Federal employees make an average of 30-50% more
than the private sector. A Cato study showed that
both the voluntary and involuntary termination rates in
the Federal government are 1/4 what they are in the
private sector, indicating lax standards and above-market
compensation. It's unjust. It's
unsustainable. It must stop.
Question 7: On
your website, you mention that you've "Written on
economic, fiscal, and monetary policy
matters." What have you written and would you
mind explaining briefly your opinions on economic,
fiscal, and monetary policies?
Answer: How much space do we have?
My campaign website (http://joshdowlut.com/) is simply a new homepage layered atop about
two years worth of my writing on these subjects. I
probably have more policy papers on these issues than any
candidate in the state. I have also been published
on seekingalpha.com, an economics/finance website.
Some of my articles have been cited by other writers.
In short, I support true free-market
capitalism. True free-market capitalism requires
that the government enforce laws against fraud and
theft. It also requires a free-market banking
system. That's where our train starts to come off
the tracks. With the Financial Services
Modernization Act of 1999, and with the Commodities
Futures Modernization Act of 2000, we have legalized
fraud and theft for big banks. Since 1913 we
haven't had a free-market monetary system, and since 1971
we haven't had anything to even try to keep it
honest. It's no coincidence that the middle-class
wage stagnation began at the same time the gold window
closed. It is mind boggling that some of the
most ardent free-marketeers will so willingly accept
central planning when it comes to the monetary
system. We wouldn't allow a central planner to
dictate the price or quantity of milk, so why do we allow
if for money? This country transformed from a
backwater agrarian economy with a per capita income that
ranked middle of the road internationally, to a budding
super power able to mop up at the end of WWI with the
world's #1 per capita income without a central bank.
I also have some distinctly contrarian
or heterodox views. For starters, deflation is
good, deflation is natural; while it is often a symptom
of depression, it is not a cause of depression. If
you think about it, progress is the ability to get more
output from the same or fewer inputs. That's what
raises standards of living, and that naturally leads to
falling prices or deflation. There is ample
evidence that shows deflation can coexist with growth and
prosperity; 1820-1913 prices fell by 50% while real per
capita income increased 5-fold. There is also
evidence that shows deflation raises real wages. I
also see credit as more of a problem than a
solution. Credit creation drives up prices which
requires more credit creation which drives up prices
until you hit a point where your wages can't afford it
anymore. That's when the music stops and 10 people
go to grab 5 chairs. The reason the average man
needs to take out a loan to buy a new Kia is because
everyone else in the market for that Kia is using
financing as well. Sometimes I wonder how much
people would use credit cards if they were correctly
called debt cards. When I hear politicians talking
about how small businesses need more access to credit,
what I hear is "small businesses need more access to
debt." Expanding credit benefits bankers at
the expense of both consumers and productive sectors of
the economy.
Question 8: On
your website you mention that you offer a "...well
thought out, economically, and fiscally sound alternative
to the bank bailouts." Can you please explain
this to my readers?
Answer: FDIC has been the obvious answer
staring us in the face all along. Transfer assets
and liabilities from failed companies to unfailed
companies and, if need be, to brand new
companies. Adjust reserve requirements for the new
bank to compensate for any defaulted loans. Cost to
the taxpayer would have been somewhere between zero and
maybe some increased administrative costs. FDIC
could have facilitated the transfers only, and the Fed
could have adjusted the reserve requirements. This
would have kept the broad money supply stable and
therefore kept prices stable as well. New short
term commercial paper could have been given an explicit
Federal guarantee for a year or so. Everything else
should have been sorted out among the gamblers.
This reminds me of a story about two young
brothers who spent the summer playing cards with each
other. At the end of the summer, one owed the other
several hundred dollars. The debtor brother was
insolvent. The creditor brother cried to the law
(mom) to enforce and collect the debt. Mom said
"you're insane." To fit this story to the
bank bailouts, the mother would have called a meeting
with all of the other neighborhood parents and demanded
that their kids cough up a share of money enough to pay
the debt ... and she'd have had a PhD/MBA-based
explanation as to why it was in these other kids' best
interest to do so. A lot of 401ks, sovereign wealth
funds, and pension funds would lose money under my
plan. It would not be painless, but it also would
not be Armageddon, and in the long run it would be much
better and fairer than the play we are running.
What we chose to do was to take private debts that never
even had an implicit government guarantee, and turn them
into public debts with a "full faith and
credit" explicit backing. Right now we are
continuing to pour hundreds of billions of dollars into
Fannie, Freddie, AIG, and the Fed's member banks, and
there's no end in sight. Over 800 years of
sovereign debt defaults from around the globe have shown
that turning private debts into public debts is a
recurring path to disaster.
Question 9:
There are currently four other Republican candidates
in the race. Would you support the eventual
nominee?
Answer: The ancient Athenians used to
draw straws to decide who would represent them in their
government. They believed that otherwise politics
would become dominated by the rich, the powerful, and the
corrupt. I'd take throwing darts at the Yellow
Pages over Dutch Ruppersberger. Yes, I will support
the GOP nominee.
Question 10:
What is one thing you want to ensure that potential
voters know about you / your candidacy?
Answer: I wish I could have gotten this
in closer to the top: Exempting small businesses
from complying with the payroll tax is the absolute best
thing the Federal government can do to help the economy
and create jobs. No serious discussion is complete
without it, yet I'm the only candidate crusading for
this. To understand my crusade, you must first
understand what the payroll tax is. It is a 10%
surcharge on labor paid by the employer. It is a
stealth, or hidden, tax. Whatever an employee
thinks his tax rate is, the actual rate is 10%
higher. If your employer wants to pay you $1000 of
payroll, it costs them $1100. Unlike a traditional
corporate tax on net profits, this is a tax on GROSS
wages. As such, unlike the traditional corporate
tax, it can put a struggling business under. By the
same token, while cuts to the corporate income tax will
have zero effect on a business that has no profits, cuts
to the payroll tax can move a business from the red to
the black. Three-thousand businesses closed in MD
last year. We need this change. You could
exempt the first 20 employees for a revenue loss of $160
billion. 85% of businesses in MD have fewer than 20
employees; therefore, such a change would have a huge
impact on growth and hiring. Getting more
aggressive with spending cuts to afford more revenue
loss, you could exempt the first 100 employees from
complying for a revenue loss of $320 billion. That
would exempt 95% of businesses from having to comply with
this and would really fatten the help wanted section.
Josh Dowlut
Phone: 410-982-6651
joshdowlut.com
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